Advice and Scenarios Database



Cod (Gadus morhua) in subdivisions 22-24, western Baltic stock (western Baltic Sea)
StockCode
cod.27.22-24
Assessment Year
2022
Stock Category
1
Purpose
Advice
Published
Stock Assessment Key
17001
Link to Advice Sheet
https://doi.org/10.17895/ices.advice.19447868.v1






Catch scenarios


Basis
Total catch*
Ftotal
SSB
% SSB change***
% advice change^
% probability of SSB being below Blim##
2023 2023 2024 2024 2024 2024
(t) (ratio) (t) (%) (%) (%)
ICES Basis Advice
MSY approach: FMSY × SSB (2023) /MSY Btrigger 943 0.103 17918 93 35 31
Other scenarios
EU MAP**: FMSY×SSB (2023) /MSYBtrigger 943 0.103 17918 93 35 31
EU MAP**: MAP rage Flower SSB (2023)/MSYBtrigger 621 0.067 18240 96 34 29
Zero catch 0 0 18859 103 -100 25
F=Fpa 5277 0.69 13581 46 656 60
F=Flim 8175 1.23 10698 15 1071 76
SSB (2024)=Blim 3753 0.46 15067 62 438 50
SSB (2024)=Bpa#
SSB (2024)=MSYBtrigger#
Fsq (F=2021) 6485 0.9 12361 33 829 66
TAC2022 (489 t)+ estimated recreational catch 2022 (494 t) 983 0.108 17872 92 41 32




Symbol Footnotes
* Includes commercial and recreational catch.
** EU Multiannual Plan for the Baltic Sea (EU, 2016, 2019).
*** SSB 2024 relative to SSB 2023.
# The Bpa, and MSY Btrigger options were left blank because neither can be achieved in 2024 even with zero catch in 2023.
## This probability relates to the short-term probability of SSB less Blim and is not comparable to the long-term probability of SSB less Blim tested in simulations when estimating fishing mortality reference points.
^ Total catch in 2023 relative to total catch corresponding to the MAP FMSY advice for 2022 (698 tonnes), including commercial and recreational catch.