Catch scenarios

Basis	Total catch*	Projected landings	Projected discards**	Ftotal# (ages 2–6)	Fprojected landings (ages 2–6)	Fprojected discards (ages 1–3)	SSB	% SSB change^	% TAC change^^	% advice change^^
	2023	2023	2023	2023	2023	2023	2024	2024	2024	2024
	(t)	(t)	(t)	(ratio)	(ratio)	(ratio)	(t)	(%)	(%)	(%)
ICES Basis Advice
MSY approach: FMSY × SSB (2023) /MSY Btrigger	9152	8467	685	0.19	0.18	0.04	41078	5.9	-40	-40
Other scenarios
F = FMSY	10012	9260	752	0.21	0.2	0.04	40315	4	-35	-35
F = FMSY lower	6207	5747	460	0.12	0.08	0.02	43695	12.7	-60	-60
F = FMSY lower × SSB (2023) /MSY Btrigger	5652	5234	418	0.11	0.08	0.02	44189	14	-63	-63
F = 0	0	0	0	0	0	0	49224	27	-100	-100
Fpa	14276	13185	1091	0.31	0.29	0.06	36539	-5.8	-6.9	-6.9
Flim	18281	16858	1422	0.42	0.4	0.08	33005	-14.9	19.2	19.2
SSB (2024) = Bpa	7171	6638	533	0.14	0.14	0.03	42838	10.5	-53	-53
SSB (2024) = Blim	20755	19121	1634	0.49	0.46	0.1	30828	-20	35	35
SSB (2024) = MSYBtrigger	7171	6638	533	0.14	0.14	0.03	42838	10.5	-53	-53
F = F2022	10031	9277	754	0.21	0.2	0.04	40299	3.9	-35	-35
Rollover advice	15330	14153	1177	0.34	0.32	0.07	35608	-8.2	0	0

Symbol	Footnotes
*	Differences between the total catch and the sum of projected landings and discards result from rounding.
**	Including BMS landings, assuming recent discard rate.
#	Fprojected landings and Fprojected discards do not add up to Ftotal as they are calculated using different ages.
^	SSB 2024 relative to SSB 2023.
^^	Total catch in 2023 relative to the advice value 2022 and TAC (15 330 tonnes).