Advice and Scenarios Database



Saithe (Pollachius virens) in subareas 1 and 2 (Northeast Arctic)
StockCode
pok.27.1-2
Assessment Year
2020
Stock Category
1
Purpose
Advice
Published
Stock Assessment Key
13697






Catch scenarios


Basis
Total catch
Ftotal
SSB
% SSB change*
% TAC change**
% Advice change***
2021 2021 2022 2022 2022 2022
(t) (ratio) (t) (%) (%) (%)
ICES Basis Advice
Management plan† 197779 0.28 489730 -7 15 15
Other scenarios
F = 0 0 0 671555 27 -100 -100
Fpa 236452 0.35 454846 -14 37 37
F = Fsq 165840 0.23 518726 -2 -4 -4




Symbol Footnotes
* SSB 2022 relative to SSB 2021.
** Catch in 2021 relative to TAC in 2020 (171982 tonnes).
*** Catch in 2021 relative to the advice value for 2020 (171982 tonnes).
The 3-year prediction fishing at FMP gives catches of 219418, 196530, and 180275 tonnes in 2021, 2022, and 2023 respectively. The average of these is 198741 tonnes, which is more than a 15% increase on the 2020 TAC (171982 tonnes). Using the 15% constraint as outlined in the HCR gives a catch of 197779 tonnes.