Advice and Scenarios Database



Saithe (Pollachius virens) in subareas 4, 6 and Division 3.a (North Sea, Rockall and West of Scotland, Skagerrak and Kattegat)
StockCode
pok.27.3a46
Assessment Year
2022
Stock Category
1
Purpose
Advice
Published
Stock Assessment Key
17035
Link to Advice Sheet
https://doi.org/10.17895/ices.advice.19453649.v1






Catch scenarios


Basis
Total catch
Projected landings
Projected discards*
Projected landings## Div. 3.a and Subarea 4
Projected landings## Subarea 6
Ftotal (ages 4–7)
Fprojected landings (ages 4–7)
Fprojected discards (ages 4–7)
SSB
% SSB change**
% TAC change#
% advice change^
2023 2023 2023 2023 2023 2023 2023 2023 2024 2024 2024 2024
(t) (t) (t) (t) (t) (ratio) (ratio) (ratio) (t) (%) (%) (%)
ICES Basis Advice
MSY approach: FMSY × SSB (2023) /MSY Btrigger 58912 56645 2267 51320 5325 0.35 0.33 0.01 159133 12.2 18.7 18.7
Other scenarios
F = FMSY lower × SSB (2023) /MSYBtrigger 36076 34673 1403 31414 3259 0.2 0.19 0.01 179382 26 -27 -27
FMSY 61507 59152 2355 53592 5560 0.36 0.35 0.01 156893 10.6 24 24
F = FMSY lower 37777 36309 1468 32896 3413 0.21 0.2 0.01 177899 25 -24 -24
F = 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 211886 49 -100 -100
Fpa 90144 86596 3548 78456 8140 0.58 0.56 0.02 132129 -6.8 82 82
Flim 101104 97133 3971 88002 9131 0.67 0.64 0.02 122762 -13.4 104 104
SSB2024 = Blim 121742 116900 4842 105911 10989 0.85 0.82 0.03 107297 -24 145 145
SSB2024 = Bpa 72399 69563 2836 63024 6539 0.44 0.42 0.01 149098 5.1 46 46
SSB2024 = MSYBtrigger 72399 69563 2836 63024 6539 0.44 0.42 0.01 149098 5.1 46 46
F = F2022 57384 55183 2201 49996 5187 0.34 0.32 0.01 160486 13.2 15.7 15.7
TAC2022 49614 47713 1901 43228 4485 0.28 0.27 0.01 167290 18 0 0
TAC2022 -15% 42172 40544 1628 36733 3811 0.24 0.23 0.01 173992 23 -15 -15
TAC2022 +15% 57056 54868 2188 49710 5158 0.33 0.32 0.01 160787 13.4 15 15
TAC2022 -20% 39691 38147 1544 34561 3586 0.22 0.21 0.01 176170 24 -20 -20
TAC2022 +25% 62016 59642 2374 54036 5606 0.37 0.35 0.01 156417 10.3 25 25




Symbol Footnotes
* Including BMS landings, assuming recent discard rate.
** SSB 2024 relative to SSB 2023.
# Total catch in 2023 relative to the TAC in 2022 (49 614 tonnes).
## Projected landings split according to the average in 1993–1998, as agreed by the relevant management authorities, i.e. 90.6% in Subarea 4 and Subdivision 3.a.20 and 9.4% in Subarea 6.
^ Total catch in 2023 relative to the advice value 2022 (49 614 tonnes).