Catch scenarios

Basis	Total catch	Projected landings	Projected discards	Ftotal	Fprojected landings	Fprojected discards	SSB	% SSB change*	% TAC change^
	2021	2021	2021	2021	2021	2021	2022	2022	2022
	(t)	(t)	(t)	(ratio)	(ratio)	(ratio)	(t)	(%)	(%)
ICES Basis Advice
MSY approach: F = 0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6070	101	-100
Other scenarios
FMSY × SSB (2021)/MSYBtrigger	123	85	37	0.045	0.036	0.0089	5896	95	-90
FMSY lower: FMSY lower × SSB (2021) / MSYBtrigger	74	52	23	0.027	0.022	0.0054	5963	97	-94
FMSY upper: FMSY upper × SSB (2021) / MSYBtrigger	198	137	61	0.074	0.059	0.0146	5801	92	-85
F = FMSY lower	465	320	146	0.18	0.144	0.036	5461	81	-64
F = FMSY	738	504	234	0.3	0.24	0.06	5098	69	-42
F = Fpa	1182	793	389	0.52	0.42	0.103	4517	49	-7.6
F = FMSY upper	1124	757	367	0.49	0.39	0.097	4591	52	-12.1
F = F2019	1914	1258	657	1	0.8	0.198	3538	17	50
F = Flim	1532	1020	512	0.73	0.59	0.145	4064	34	19.8
Rollover TAC	1279	857	422	0.58	0.46	0.114	4389	45	0
SSB (2022) = Blim **
SSB(2022) = Bpa = MSYBtrigger **

Symbol	Footnotes
*	SSB 2022 relative to SSB 2021.
**	The Blim, Bpa, and MSY Btrigger options were left blank because Blim, Bpa, and MSY Btrigger cannot be achieved in 2022, even with zero catches.
^	Total catch in 2021 relative to the TAC in 2020 (1279 tonnes).