Catch scenarios

Basis	Total catch	Projected landings^	Projected discards^^	Ftotal (ages 3–7)	Fprojected landings (ages 3–7)	Fprojected discards (ages 3-7)	SSB	% SSB change*	% TAC change**	% advice change**
	2023	2023	2023	2023	2023	2023	2024	2024	2023	2023
	(t)	(t)	(t)	(ratio)	(ratio)	(ratio)	(t)	(%)	(%)	(%)
ICES Basis Advice
MSY approach: FMSY × SSB (2023)/MSY Btrigger	1747	1529	218	0.186	0.156	0.03	13162	3.8	-27	-27
Other scenarios
F=FMSYlower× SSB(2023)/ MSYBtrigger	1221	1067	154	0.126	0.106	0.021	13789	8.7	-49	-49
F = 0	0	0	0	0	0	0	15237	20	-100	-100
Fpa	2821	2468	353	0.318	0.27	0.052	11933	-5.9	18.5	18.5
Flim	3070	2689	381	0.352	0.29	0.057	11641	-8.2	29	29
SSB (2024) = Blim	3463	3032	431	0.41	0.34	0.066	11181	-11.8	46	46
SSB (2024) = Bpa = MSYBtrigger#
F = F2022	2032	1777	255	0.22	0.184	0.036	12836	1.21	-14.6	-14.6
F = FMSY lower	1487	1300	187	0.156	0.131	0.025	13484	6.3	-38	-38
F = FMSY	2116	1851	265	0.23	0.193	0.037	12737	0.43	-11.1	-11.1

Symbol	Footnotes
*	SSB 2024 relative to SSB 2023 (12 682 tonnes).
**	Total catch in 2023 relative to the advice value 2022 and TAC (2380 tonnes).
#	Bpa and MSY Btrigger cannot be achieved in 2024, even with zero catches.
^	Marketable landings.
^^	Including BMS landings, assuming recent discard rate.