Catch scenarios

Basis	Total catch	Projected landings^	Projected discards^^	Ftotal (ages 3–7)	Fprojected landings (ages 3–7)	Fprojected discards (ages 3-7)	SSB	SSB change*	TAC change**	advice change**
	2024	2024	2024	2024	2024	2024	2025	2025	2024	2024
	(t)	(t)	(t)	(ratio)	(ratio)	(ratio)	(t)	(%)	(%)	(%)
ICES Basis Advice
MSY approach: FMSY × SSB (2024)/MSY Btrigger	1504	1294	210	0.174	0.141	0.033	12387	4.5	-13.9	-13.9
Other scenarios
FMSYlower× SSB(2024)/ MSYBtrigger	1048	902	146	0.118	0.096	0.022	12922	9.1	-40	-40
F = 0	0	0	0	0	0	0	14131	19.3	-100	-100
Fpa	2588	2228	360	0.32	0.26	0.059	11138	-6	48	48
Flim	2820	2427	393	0.35	0.29	0.066	10872	-8.2	61	61
SSB (2025) = Blim	2552	2196	356	0.31	0.26	0.058	11181	-5.6	46	46
SSB (2025) = Bpa = MSYBtrigger#
F = F2023	1739	1499	240	0.2	0.166	0.038	12114	2.2	-0.46	-0.46
FMSY lower	1361	1171	190	0.156	0.127	0.029	12551	5.9	-22	-22
FMSY	1938	1670	268	0.23	0.187	0.043	11874	0.21	10.9	10.9

Symbol	Footnotes
*	SSB 2025 relative to SSB 2024 (11842 tonnes).
**	Total catch in 2024 relative to the advice value 2023 and TAC (both 1747tonnes).
#	Bpa and MSYBtrigger cannot be achieved in 2025, even with zero catches.
^	Marketable landings.
^^	Including BMS landings, assuming recent discard rate.