Catch scenarios

Basis	Total catch (Division 7.d plaice stock) ^	Projected landings (Division 7.d plaice stock)	Projected discards (Division 7.d plaice stock) *	Ftotal (ages 3-6) (Division 7.d plaice stock)	Fprojected landings (ages 3-6) (Division 7.d plaice stock)	Fprojected discards (ages 3-6) (Division 7.d plaice stock)	SSB (Division 7.d plaice stock)	% SSB change (Division 7.d plaice stock) **	% advice change (Division 7.d plaice stock) $	Total catch (All plaice in Division 7.d#)	Projected landings (All plaice in Division 7.d#)	Projected discards (All plaice in Division 7.d#) *	% change in projected catches (All plaice in Division 7.d#) ^^	% advice change (All plaice in Division 7.d#) ##	% TAC change (All plaice in Division 7.d#) ###
	2025	2025	2025	2025	2025	2025	2026	2026	2025	2025	2025	2025	2025	2025	2025
	(t)	(t)	(t)	(ratio)	(ratio)	(ratio)	(t)	(%)	(%)	(t)	(t)	(t)	(%)	(%)	(%)
ICES Basis Advice
MSY approach: FMSY × SSB (2025)/MSY Btrigger	2600	945	1654	0.116	0.025	0.091	27861	-0.72	9.8	3113	1132	1981	-13.8	10.2	10.2
Other scenarios
F=FMSYlower× SSB(2025)/ MSYBtrigger	1908	694	1214	0.084	0.0181	0.066	28704	2.3	-19.4	2285	831	1454	-37	-19.1	-19.1
FMSY lower	2537	923	1614	0.113	0.024	0.089	27938	-0.45	7.2	3038	1105	1933	-15.9	7.5	7.5
FMSY	3441	1251	2190	0.156	0.034	0.122	26841	-4.4	45	4121	1498	2623	14.1	46	46
F = 0	0	0	0	0	0	0	31047	10.6	-100	0	0	0	-100	-100	-100
Fpa	5079	1845	3234	0.238	0.051	0.187	24870	-11.4	115	6082	2209	3873	68	115	115
Flim	7683	2786	4897	0.381	0.082	0.3	21783	-22	225	9201	3337	5864	155	226	226
SSB (2026) = Blim	3188	1159	2029	0.144	0.031	0.113	27147	-3.3	35	3818	1388	2430	5.7	35	35
SSB (2026) = Bpa = MSYBtrigger ^^^
F = F2024	3359	1221	2138	0.152	0.033	0.119	26941	-4	42	4022	1462	2560	11.4	42	42

Symbol	Footnotes
*	Including BMS landings, assuming recent discard rate.
**	SSB 2026 relative to SSB 2025.
#	All plaice caught in Division 7.d, including plaice originating from the North Sea and the western English Channel. Of the plaice caught in Division 7.d, 12.69% are assumed to originate from the North Sea and 3.81% from the western English Channel (average ratio calculated over the years 2003–2023). Both of these predicted catches are added to the predicted values for the ple.27.7d stock and applied to projected catch, projected landings, and projected discards. Following ICES advice basis, catches in Division 7.d will comprise 2600 tonnes coming from the ple.27.7d stock, plus 395 tonnes coming from the ple.27.420 stock and 119 tonnes from the ple.27.7e stock.
##	Projected catch of plaice caught in division 7d in 2025 relative to the advice value 2024 (2826tonnes).
###	Projected catch of plaice caught in division 7d in 2025 relative to the TAC in 2024 (2826tonnes).
^	Differences between total projected catch and the sum of projected landings and discards result from rounding.
^^	Projected catch of plaice caught in Division 7d in 2025 relative to the ICES estimates of catches in 2023 (3812tonnes).
^^^	Bpa and MSY Btrigger cannot be achieved in 2026, even with zero catches.
$	Total advised catch of plaice stock in 2025 relative to the advice value 2024 (2367tonnes).