Catch scenarios

Basis	Total catch	Projected landings	Projected Surviving discards	Projected dead discards	Total projected discards*	Ftotal	Fprojected landings	Fprojected discards**	SSB	% SSB change***	% advice change^	Probability of SSB (2026) lt Blim (%)
	2025	2025	2025	2025	2025	2025	2025	2025	2026	2026	2025	2026
	(t)	(t)	(t)	(t)	(t)	(ratio)	(ratio)	(ratio)	(t)	(%)	(%)	(%)
ICES Basis Advice
MSY approach: F=FMSY × SSB2025/MSY Btrigger	1504	485	408	612	1019	0.182	0.048	0.134	8237	1.27	-21	0
Other scenarios
FMSY	1610	519	436	655	1091	0.196	0.051	0.145	8167	0.4	-15	0
FMSY lower × SSB2025/MSY Btrigger	1043	336	283	424	707	0.124	0.032	0.091	8539	5	-45	0
FMSY upper × SSB2025/MSY Btrigger	2166	698	587	881	1468	0.27	0.071	0.2	7794	-4.2	13.9	0.6
F= FMSY lower	1119	361	303	455	758	0.133	0.035	0.098	8486	4.3	-41	0
F= FMSY upper	2312	745	627	940	1567	0.29	0.077	0.22	7678	-5.6	22	0.6
F= Fpa	3054	984	828	1242	2070	0.4	0.105	0.26	7130	-12.3	61	2.1
F=0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	9329	14.7	-100	0
F=Flim	3625	1168	983	1474	2457	0.5	0.13	0.37	6723	-17	91	4.4
SSB2026=Blim	7560	2436	2050	3074	5124	1.41	0.37	1.04	3958	-51	297	50
SSB2026=Bpa	5619	1811	1523	2285	3808	0.88	0.23	0.65	5294	-35	195	21.7
SSB2026 = MSYBtrigger	743	239	201	302	503	0.087	0.023	0.064	8757	7.7	-61	0
Rollover advice	1902	613	516	773	1289	0.24	0.062	0.174	7990	-1.77	0	0.1
F=F2024	734	236	199	298	497	0.086	0.022	0.063	8765	7.8	-61	0
SSB2026 = SSB2025	1676	540	454	682	1136	0.21	0.054	0.151	8134	0	-12	0

Symbol	Footnotes
*	Dead + surviving projected discards.
**	Fprojected discards concerns dead projected discards only.
***	SSB 2026 relative to SSB 2025.