Catch scenarios

Basis	Total catch	Ftotal	SSB	% SSB change*	% advice change**	Probability SSB is less than Blim in 2026 ^
	2025	2025	2026	2026	2025	2026
	(t)	(ratio)	(t)	(%)	(%)	(ratio)
ICES Basis Advice
F = 0	0	0	5906	25	0	0.934
Other scenarios
MSY approach: FMSY*SSB2024/MSY Btrigger	584	0.127	5198	9.7		0.971
FMSY	1005	0.23	4734	0		0.981
Fpa= Fp05	2195	0.6	3446	-27		0.997
Flim	2784	0.85	2808	-41		1
F =F2022	2180	0.59	3464	-27		0.997

Symbol	Footnotes
*	SSB2026 relative to SSB2025.
**	The advice value for 2025 relative to advice value for 2024 (0 tonnes).
^	The probability of SSB being below Blim in 2026. This probability relates to the short-term probability of SSB <; Blim and is not comparable to the long-term probability of SSB <; Blim tested in simulations when estimating fishing mortality reference points.