Catch scenarios

Basis	Total catch	Projected landings	Projected discards	Ftotal	Fprojected landings	Fprojected discards	SSB	SSB change *	Advice change^	Probability of SSB less than Blim
	2025	2025	2025	2025	2025	2025	2026	2026	2025	2026
	(t)	(t)	(t)	(ratio)	(ratio)	(ratio)	(t)	(%)	(%)	(%)
ICES Basis Advice
MSY approach: F = FMSY	31565	30215	1350	0.28	0.25	0.027	100709	-14.6	674	0
Other scenarios
EU MAP**: FMSY	31565	30215	1350	0.28	0.25	0.027	100709	-14.6	674	0
EU MAP**: FMSYlower	22041	21183	858	0.184	0.166	0.018	111338	-5.6	440	0
EU MAP**: FMSYupper	42625	40916	1709	0.41	0.37	0.04	88877	-25	945	0
F = 0	0	0	0	0	0	0	135134	14.5	-100	0
Fpa	43399	41662	1737	0.42	0.38	0.041	88080	-25	964	0
Flim	79588	75944	3644	1.1	0.99	0.107	48969	-58	1852	0.44
F = F2024	4607	4436	171	0.035	0.031	0.004	130432	10.5	12.9	0
SSB2026 = Blim	126876	117999	8877	7.1	6.4	0.69	8542	-93	3011	50
SSB2026 = Bpa	121639	114019	7620	4.7	4.3	0.46	11870	-90	2882	34
SSB2026 = MSYBtrigger	120065	112627	7438	4.3	3.9	0.42	12877	-89	2844	30
SSB2026 = SSB2025	16257	15633	624	0.131	0.118	0.013	117972	0	299	0

Symbol	Footnotes
*	SSB 2026 relative to SSB 2025.
**	EU multiannual plan (MAP) for the Western Waters (EU, 2019).
^	Total catch advice for 2025 relative to the advice for 2024 (4 078tonnes).