Advice and Scenarios Database



Sole (Solea solea) in subdivisions 20-24 (Skagerrak and Kattegat, western Baltic Sea)
StockCode
sol.27.20-24
Assessment Year
2024
Stock Category
1
Purpose
Advice
Published
Stock Assessment Key
19024
Link to Advice Sheet
https://doi.org/10.17895/ices.advice.25019666






Catch scenarios


Basis
Total catch*
Projected landings
Projected discards
F projected landings (4–8)
SSB
% SSB change**
% TAC change^
% advice change^^
% probability (SSB below Blim)
2025 2025 2025 2025 2026 2026 2025 2025 2026
(t) (t) (t) (ratio) (t) (%) (%) (%) (%)
ICES Basis Advice
EU MAP#: FMSY x SSB2025/MSY Btrigger 429 417 12 0.23 2038 -9.6 31 -1.61 31
^^^EU MAP#: Flower x SSB2025/MSY Btrigger 322 313 9 0.165 2139 -5.18 -1.53 -1.53 22
Other scenarios
F = 0 0 0 0 0 2478 9.8 -100 -100 4.1
Fpa, FMSY 485 472 13 0.26 1983 -12 48 11 36
MAP range Fupper 485 472 13 0.26 1983 -12 48 11 36
MAP range Flower 367 357 10 0.19 2096 -7.1 12 -16 25
Flim 573 557 16 0.315 1892 -16 75 31 46
TAC 2022x1.2 403 392 11 0.21 2062 -8.6 23 -7.6 28
SSB (2026) = Blim 612 595 17 0.34 1850 -18 87 40 50
§ SSB (2026) = Bpa
§ SSB (2026) = MSY Btrigger
SSB(2026)=SSB(2025) 209 203 6 0.104 2256 0 -36 -52 14
p(SSB(2026)<;Blim)=5% 15 15 0 0.007 2460 9 -95 -97 5.3
F = F2024 231 225 6 0.116 2233 -1.02 -29 -47 16




Symbol Footnotes
§ The Bpa and MSYBtrigger options were left blank because Bpa and MSYBtrigger cannot be achieved in 2026, even with zero catch in 2025
* Total catch is calculated based on projected landings and assuming 2.81% discard ratio (in weight).
** SSB 2026 relative to SSB 2025.
# EU multiannual plan (MAP) for the North Sea (EU, 2018).
^ Total advised catch in 2025 relative to the TAC in 2024 (327tonnes in 2024).
^^ Advice value 2025 relative to the advice value 2024 (436tonnes).
^^^ ICES advice for Flower in 2025 relative to ICES advice Flower in 2024 (327tonnes).