Advice and Scenarios Database



Cod (Gadus morhua) in divisions 7.e-k (eastern English Channel and southern Celtic Seas)
StockCode
cod.27.7e-k
Assessment Year
2024
Stock Category
1
Purpose
Advice
Published
Stock Assessment Key
18963
Link to Advice Sheet
https://doi.org/10.17895/ices.advice.25019234.v1






Catch scenarios


Basis
Total catch
Ftotal
SSB
SSB change*
TAC change**
Probability of SSB less than Blim
2025 2025 2026 2026 2025 2026
(t) (ratio) (t) (%) (%) (%)
ICES Basis Advice
MSY approach: F = 0 0 0 2040 202 -100 91
Other scenarios
FMSY×SSB2025/MSYBtrigger 42 0.034 1976 192 -93 92
EU MAP***: FMSYlower×SSB2025/MSYBtrigger 25 0.02 1998 196 -96 92
EU MAP***: FMSYupper×SSB2025/MSYBtrigger 60 0.048 1946 188 -91 93
F = FMSY 324 0.29 1556 130 -50 97
F = FMSY lower 201 0.17 1740 157 -69 95
F = FMSY upper 436 0.41 1393 106 -32 98
F = Flim 909 1.13 733 8.4 41 100
F = Fpa 707 0.77 1005 49 10 100
SSB2026 = SSB 2025 953 1.22 676 0 48 100
F = F2024 739 0.82 961 42 15 99
SSB2026 =Blim^
SSB2026= Bpa=MSYBtrigger^




Symbol Footnotes
* SSB2026 relative to SSB2025.
** Total catch in 2025 relative to 2024 TAC (644 tonnes).
*** EU multiannual plan (MAP) for the Western Waters (EU, 2019).
^ The Blim, Bpa, and MSYBtrigger options were left blank because none of them can be achieved in 2026, even with zero catch in 2025.