Catch scenarios

Basis	Total catch	Projected landings	Projected discards	Ftotal	Fprojected landings	Fprojected discards	SSB	SSB change*	Advice change^	Probability of SSB less than Blim
	2025	2025	2025	2025	2025	2025	2026	2026	2025	2026
	(t)	(t)	(t)	(ratio)	(ratio)	(ratio)	(t)	(%)	(%)	(%)
ICES Basis Advice
MSY approach: F = FMSY	609	529	80	0.164	0.131	0.033	4502	-3.1	-2.6	0.06
Other scenarios
F = FMSY lower	472	410	62	0.125	0.1	0.025	4633	-0.3	-24	0.03
F = FMSY upper	673	585	88	0.183	0.147	0.036	4442	-4.4	7.7	0.11
F = 0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5088	9.5	-100	0
F = Fpa	673	585	88	0.183	0.147	0.036	4442	-4.4	7.7	0.11
F = Flim	1786	1543	243	0.57	0.46	0.114	3471	-25	186	8.1
SSB2026=Blim	3239	2769	470	1.4	1.12	0.28	2235	-52	420	50
SSB2026=Bpa =MSYBtrigger	2189	1887	302	0.75	0.6	0.149	3129	-33	250	16.4
SSB2026=SSB2025	457	397	60	0.121	0.097	0.024	4647	0	-27	0.02
F =F2024	440	382	58	0.116	0.093	0.023	4662	0.32	-30	0.01

Symbol	Footnotes
*	SSB 2026 relative to SSB 2025.
^	Advice value for 2025 relative to the corresponding 2024 value (625tonnes). The advice for 2024 was revised on 31 May 2024. The 2024 TAC is similar to the advice value.