Catch scenarios

Basis	Total catch	Projected landings*	Projected discards**	Ftotal	Fprojected landings	Fprojected discards	SSB	SSB change ***	Advice change^	Probability of SSB less than Blim
	2025	2025	2025	2025	2025	2025	2026	2026	2025	2026
	(t)	(t)	(t)	(ratio)	(ratio)	(ratio)	(t)	(%)	(%)	(%)
ICES Basis Advice
MSY approach: F = FMSY	1149	1080	69	0.251	0.237	0.014	5226	-0.93	-9.3	0
Other scenarios
EU MAP^^: FMSY	1149	1080	69	0.251	0.237	0.014	5226	-0.93	-9.3	0
EU MAP^^: FMSY lower	656	617	39	0.136	0.128	0.008	5734	8.7	-48	0
EU MAP^^: FMSY upper	1922	1802	120	0.462	0.436	0.026	4425	-16.1	52	0.01
F = 0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6427	22	-100	0
F= Fpa	1718	1611	107	0.402	0.379	0.023	4637	-12.1	36	0
F= Flim	2180	2042	138	0.543	0.513	0.03	4159	-21	72	0.06
SSB2026 = Blim	4117	3823	294	1.48	1.393	0.083	2184	-59	225	50
SSB2026= Bpa= MSYBtrigger	3252	3037	215	0.96	0.91	0.054	3057	-42	157	8.3
SSB2026= SSB2025	1101	1034	67	0.24	0.226	0.013	5275	0	-13.1	0
F = F2024	1350	1267	83	0.3	0.285	0.017	5017	-4.9	6.6	0

Symbol	Footnotes
*	Marketable landings, assuming recent discard rate.
**	Including below minimum size (BMS) landings (EU stocks), assuming recent discard rate.
***	SSB 2026 relative to SSB 2025.
^	Advice value for 2025 relative to the advice value for 2024 (1267 tonnes). The 2024 TAC is similar to the advice value.
^^	EU multiannual plan (MAP) for the Western Waters and adjacent waters (EU, 2019).