Catch scenarios

Basis	Total catch	Projected landings	Projected discards	Ftotal	Fprojected landings	Fprojected discards	SSB	SSB change *	Advice change**	Probability of being below Blim
	2025	2025	2025	2025	2025	2025	2026	2026	2025	2026
	(t)	(t)	(t)	(ratio)	(ratio)	(ratio)	(t)	(%)	(%)	(%)
ICES Basis Advice
MSY approach: FMSY × SSB (2025) /MSY Btrigger	5116	2929	2187	0.196	0.079	0.117	22315	-7	32	17.4
Other scenarios
MSY approach: FMSY lower × SSB (2025) /MSY Btrigger	4286	2456	1830	0.162	0.065	0.097	23062	-3.8	10.5	14.1
MSY approach: FMSY upper × SSB (2025) /MSY Btrigger	5116	2929	2187	0.196	0.079	0.117	22315	-7	32	17.42
F=0	0	0	0	0	0	0	26974	12.5	-100	3
F= FMSY	5440	3112	2328	0.21	0.084	0.126	22022	-8.2	40	18.9
F= FMSY lower	4564	2614	1950	0.173	0.069	0.104	22801	-4.9	17.7	15.3
F= Fpa	5440	3112	2328	0.21	0.084	0.126	22022	-8.2	40	18.9
F= Flim	7671	4366	3305	0.31	0.124	0.186	20089	-16.2	98	30
SSB (2026)=Blim	11032	6252	4780	0.48	0.193	0.29	17286	-28	184	50
SSB (2026)=Bpa=MSYBtrigger	1469	845	624	0.052	0.021	0.031	25597	6.7	-62	5.5
SSB (2026)=SSB (2025)	3260	1873	1387	0.121	0.048	0.073	23982	0	-16	10.2
F=F2024	376	217	159	0.0132	0.0053	0.0079	26616	11	-90	3.5

Symbol	Footnotes
*	SSB 2026 relative to SSB 2025.
**	Advice value for 2025 relative to the corresponding 2024 value (3879 tonnes).