Advice and Scenarios Database



Horse mackerel (Trachurus trachurus) in Subarea 8 and divisions 2.a, 3.a, 4.a, 5.b, 6.a, 7.a–c, and 7.e–k (Northeast Atlantic and adjacent waters)
StockCode
hom.27.2a3a4a5b6a7a-ce-k8
Assessment Year
2024
Stock Category
1
Purpose
Advice
Published
Stock Assessment Key
19217






Catch scenarios


Basis
Total catch
F
SSB
SSB change*
Advice change**
Probability of SSB less than Blim*
2025 2025 2026 2026 2025 2026
(t) (ratio) (t) (%) (%) (%)
ICES Basis Advice
MSY approach: F = FMSY 75545 0.08 887444 2.1 3.2
Other scenarios
F=FP05=Fpa 75545 0.08 887444 2.1 3.2
F=0 0 0 955123 9.9 1.65
F=Flim 190323 0.22 785915 -9.6 8.7
F=F2024 14594 0.0148 942001 8.4 1.87
SSB2026=MSYBtriggerorBpa 188580 0.22 787443 -9.4 8.6
SSB2026=Blim 446878 0.65 566678 -35 50




Symbol Footnotes
* SSB2026 relative to SSB2025 (869 014 t).
** Advice value for 2025 relative to advice value for 2024 (0 tonnes).
*** The percentage probability of SSB being below Blim in 2026. This probability relates to the short-term probability of SSB <; Blim and is not comparable to the long-term probability of SSB <; Blim tested in simulations when estimating fishing mortality reference points.