Catch scenarios

Basis	Total landings	Fishing mortality F2026/FMSY	Stock size B2027/BMSY *	% B change **	% advice change***	corresponding landings
	2026	2026	2027	2027	2027	2026
	(t)	(ratio)	(ratio)	(%)	(%)	(t)
ICES Basis Advice
Maximum sustainable yield (MSY) approach (15th percentile of predicted landings distribution under F = FMSY)	4637	0.59	1.71	-3.4	-3.8	3639
Other scenarios
FMSY	7402	1	1.57	-11.3	54	5809
F=F2024	1225	0.145	1.87	5.7	-75	961
F=0	0	0	1.92	8.8	-100	0
Landings = 10th percentile of predicted landings distribution under F=FMSY	4145	0.52	1.73	-2.1	-14	3253
Landings = 20th percentile of predicted landings distribution under F=FMSY	5068	0.65	1.69	-4.6	5.1	3977
Landings = 35th percentile of predicted landings distribution under F=FMSY	6230	0.82	1.63	-7.9	29	4889

Symbol	Footnotes
*	Percentage change of B2027/BMSY relative to B2026/BMSY. Biomass is at 01 January.
**	Advice value for 2026 relative to the advice value for 2025 (4821 tonnes).
***	Based on the contribution of landings to removals in 2023