Catch scenarios

Basis	Total catch	Projected landings	Projected discards	Ftotal	Spawning-stock biomass (SSB)	% SSB change*	% total allowable catch (TAC) change**	% advice change^	Probability SSB less than Blim in 2027 (%)^^
	2026	2026	2026	2026	2027	2027	2027	2027	2027
	(t)	(t)	(t)	(ratio)	(t)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(%)
ICES Basis Advice
F = 0	0			0	7243	25		0	83
Other scenarios
Maximum sustainable yield (MSY) approach:FMSY × SSB2025/MSYBtrigger	799			0.145	6348	9
FMSY	1214			0.23	5916	2			95
FPA=FP05	2656			0.6	4351	-25			100
F=F2024	2315			0.5	4720	-19			99
FMSY lower ***
FMSY upper ***
SSB (2027)=Blim^^^
SSB (2027)=BPA^^^
SSB (2027) = MSYBtrigger^^^
SSB (2027) = SSB (2026) ^^^
SSB (2027) = Blim^^^

Symbol	Footnotes
*	SSB 2027 relative to SSB 2026.
**	Total catch in 2026 relative to 2025 TAC (2665 tonnes). ICES does not calculate the percentage change in TAC because Faroe Islands manages fishing effort (i.e. days of fishing), instead of TAC. Other countries (EU, UK, and Norway) have TACs for the stock in this area.
***	These reference points have not been estimated for this stock.
^	The advice value for 2026 relative to advice value for 2025 (0 tonnes).
^^	The probability of SSB being below Blim in 2027 presented as a percentage. This probability relates to the short-term probability of SSB <; Blim and is not comparable to the long-term probability of SSB <; Blim tested in simulations when estimating fishing mortality reference points.
^^^	These scenarios were left blank because a SSB greater than Blim cannot be achieved in 2027, even with zero catch in 2026.