Advice and Scenarios Database



Sole (Solea solea) in divisions 8.a-b (northern and central Bay of Biscay)
StockCode (Assessment Component)
sol.27.8ab
Assessment Year
2025
Stock Category
1
Purpose
Advice
Published
Stock Assessment Key
19773
Link to Advice Sheet
https://doi.org/10.17895/ices.advice.27202887.v1






Catch scenarios


Basis
Total catch
Projected landings
Projected discards
Fages 3–7 total
Spawning-stock biomass (SSB)
% SSB change #
% total allowable catch (TAC) change ##
% advice change ^^
Probability SSB <; Blim in 2027*
2026 2026 2026 2026 2027 2027 2026 2026 2027
(t) (t) (t) (ratio) (t) (%) (%) (%) (ratio)
ICES Basis Advice
EU MAP ^: F = FMSY × SSB2026/MSY Btrigger 2482 2460 22 0.28 9380 -1.11 -1.12 -1.12 0.01
EU MAP ^: F = FMSY lower × SSB2026/MSY Btrigger 1664 1651 13 0.18 10244 8 -34 -3 0
Other scenarios
FMSY 2699 2677 22 0.31 9201 -3 7.5 7.5 0.02
FMSY lower 1833 1818 15 0.2 10048 5.9 -27 -27 0
F = 0 0 0 0 0 11817 24.6 -100 -100 0
FPA 3560 3530 30 0.43 8394 -11.5 42 42 0.13
SSB2027 = Blim 4473 4434 39 0.58 7470 -21 78 78 0.5
SSB2027 = BPA = MSYBtrigger 1425 1414 11 0.153 10460 10.3 -43 -43 0
SSB2027 = SSB2026 2431 2412 19 0.27 9485 0 -3.2 -3.2 0
F = F2024 2467 2448 19 0.28 9405 -0.84 -1.71 -1.71 0
Total catch equal to TAC2025 2510 2490 20 0.28 9391 -0.99 0 0 0.01
Probability of (SSB2027<;Blim)=5% 3062 3136 26 0.36 8856 -6.6 22 22 0.05




Symbol Footnotes
* The probability of SSB being below Blim in 2027. This probability relates to the short-term probability of SSB <; Blim and is not comparable to the long-term probability of SSB <; Blim tested in simulations when estimating fishing mortality reference points.
# SSB in 2027 relative to SSB in 2026 (9 485 tonnes).
## Total catch in 2026 relative to TAC in 2025 (2510 tonnes)
^ The EU multiannual plan (MAP; EU, 2019).
^^ Advice values for 2026 relative to the corresponding 2025 values (FMSY 2510 tonnes, FMSY lower 1 716 tonnes). All other scenarios are relative to the 2025 value for the FMSY scenario (2 510 tonnes)