Advice and Scenarios Database



Hake (Merluccius merluccius) in divisions 8.c and 9.a, Southern stock (Cantabrian Sea and Atlantic Iberian waters)
StockCode (Assessment Component)
hke.27.8c9a
Assessment Year
2025
Stock Category
1
Purpose
Advice
Published
Stock Assessment Key
19496
Link to Advice Sheet
https://doi.org/10.17895/ices.advice.27202647.v1






Catch scenarios


Basis
Total catch
Projected landings
Projected discards
Fages 1–7 total
Fages 1–7 projected landings
Fages 1–7 projected discards
Spawning-stock biomass (SSB)
% SSB change *
% total allowable catch (TAC) change^
% advice change^^
Probability SSB <; Blim **
2026 2026 2026 2026 2026 2026 2027 2027 2026 2026 2027
(t) (t) (t) (ratio) (ratio) (ratio) (t) (%) (%) (%) (ratio)
ICES Basis Advice
EU MAP F = FMSY^^^ 14907 13936 971 0.221 0.21 0.0143 31195 14.7 -14.6 -1.31 0
EU MAP F = FMSY lower 10526 9853 673 0.151 0.141 0.0097 33663 24 -40 -1.25 0
EU MAP F=FMSY upper 20125 18781 1344 0.311 0.29 0.021 28296 4.1 15.4 -1.37 0
Other scenarios
F=0 0 0 0 0 0 0 39707 46 -100 -100 0
F=FPA 32349 30047 2302 0.558 0.52 0.04 21699 -20 85 114 0
SSB (2027)=Blim 65105 59121 5984 1.8 1.63 0.165 6011 -78 273 331 0.5
SSB (2027)=BPA= MSYBtrigger 61446 56018 5428 1.57 1.43 0.139 7556 -72 252 307 0.3
SSB (2027)=SSB (2026) 22143 20650 1493 0.35 0.33 0.024 27187 0 27 47 0
F=F2025 13428 12559 869 0.197 0.184 0.0127 32025 17.8 -23 -11.1 0
Catch advice 2026= TAC2025 17445 16295 1150 0.26 0.24 0.0171 29779 9.5 0 15.5 0




Symbol Footnotes
* SSB 2027 relative to SSB 2026 (27 187 tonnes).
** The probability of SSB being to be below Blim in 2027. This probability relates to the short-term probability of SSB <; Blim and is not comparable to the long-term probability of SSB <; Blim tested in simulations when estimating fishing mortality reference points.
^ Total catch in 2026 relative to 2025 TAC (17445 tonnes).
^^ Advice values for 2026 relative to the corresponding 2025 values (FMSY 15 105 tonnes, FMSY lower 10 659 tonnes, FMSY upper 20 404 tonnes). All other scenarios are relative to the 2025 value for the FMSY scenario (15105 tonnes).
^^^ The EU multiannual plan (MAP; EU, 2019).