Advice and Scenarios Database



Sprat (Sprattus sprattus) in subdivisions 22-32 (Baltic Sea)
StockCode (Assessment Component)
spr.27.22-32
Assessment Year
2025
Stock Category
1
Purpose
Advice
Published
Stock Assessment Key
20915
Link to Advice Sheet
https://doi.org/10.17895/ices.advice.27202893






Catch scenarios


Basis
Total catch
Ftotal
SSB
SSB
SSB change
TAC change**
Advice change***,^^
Probability SSB <; Blim
2026 2026 2026 2027 2027 2026 2026 2027
(t) (ratio) (t) (t) (%) (%) (%) (%)
ICES Basis Advice
EU MAP^^^: FMSY 224616 0.34 1132648 1276502 13 22 36 0
EU MAP^^^: range F(lower) 176056 0.26 1150277 1342685 17 -4 35 0
EU MAP^^^: range F(upper) 230518 0.35 1130525 1267835 12 25 36 0
Other scenarios
F=0 0 0 1215865 1589080 31 -100 -100 0
F=Fpa 230518 0.35 1130525 1267835 12 25 40 0
SSB (2027) =Blim 986043 2.4 749276 459640 -39 437 498 50
SSB (2027) =Bpa 891643 2.02 807639 541940 -33 385 441 36
SSB (2027) =MSYBtrigger 891643 2.02 807639 541940 -33 385 441 36
SSB (2027) =SSB (2025) 824454 1.77 844390 602119 -29 349 400 25
F=F2025 242274 0.37 1126501 1253431 11 32 47 0
p(SSB(2027)<;Blim)=5% 592910 1.1 962431 828408 -13.9 223 259 5




Symbol Footnotes
* SSB2027 relative to SSB2026.
** Catch in 2026 relative to the sum of autonomous quotas in 2025 (183 700 t = EU quota of 139 500 t + Russian Federation quota of 44 200).
*** Advice value this year relative to the advice value last year (164 947 tonnes).
^ The probability of SSB being below SSB reference points in 2027. This probability relates to the short-term probability of SSB <; Blim and is not comparable to the long-term probability of SSB <; Blim tested in simulations when estimating fishing mortality reference points.
^^ Advice value this year relative to the advice value last year for the multiannual plan (MAP) range Flower (130 195 tonnes) and MAP range Fupper (169 131tonnes).
^^^ MAP (EU, 2016, 2019, 2020).