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Hake (Merluccius merluccius) in subareas 4, 6, and 7, and divisions 3.a, 8.a-b, and 8.d, Northern stock (Greater North Sea, Celtic Seas, and the northern Bay of Biscay)
StockCode (Assessment Component)
hke.27.3a46-8abd
Assessment Year
2025
Stock Category
1
Purpose
Advice
Published
Stock Assessment Key
19777
Link to Advice Sheet
https://doi.org/10.17895/ices.advice.27202644.v1
Status:
valid
Advice Component
Advice Category
*
FMSYranges
MP
MSY
NoAdv
Other
PA
Advice Type
*
Catches
Effort
FishMort
Landings
NoAd
NoFish
Advice Unit
*
t
ratio
%
AdviceValue
*
Advice Value Lower Range
Advice Value Upper Range
Wanted Catch
Wanted Catch Lower Range
Wanted Catch Upper Range
Advice Sentence
*
ICES advises that when the MSY approach is applied, catches in 2026 should be no more than 54 912 tonnes. ICES notes the existence of a precautionary management plan developed and adopted by one of the relevant management authorities for this stock.
Advice Released Date
*
Advice Applicable From
*
Advice Applicable Until
*
TAF Link
Management Alignment
Full
Multiple
Other
Partial
MP WebLink
Management Plan Ownership
Link To Evaluation
Inquiries or Comments?
Email:
Message:
Catch scenarios
Basis
Total catch
Projected landings
Projected discards
Fages 1–7 total
Fages 1–7 projected landings
Fages 1–7 projected discards
Spawning-stock biomass (SSB) ***
% SSB change *
% advice change **
2026
2026
2026
2026
2026
2026
2027
2027
2026
(t)
(t)
(t)
(ratio)
(ratio)
(ratio)
(t)
(%)
(%)
ICES Basis Advice
Maximum sustainable yield (MSY) approach = FMSY
54912
49774
5138
0.24
0.22
0.023
104520
-5.4
4.7
Other scenarios
EU MAP^: FMSY
54912
49774
5138
0.24
0.22
0.023
104520
-5.4
4.7
F = MAP^:FMSY lower
35102
31905
3197
0.147
0.134
0.0134
117219
6.2
-33
F = MAP^:FMSY upper
77898
70354
7544
0.37
0.33
0.036
90003
-18
48
F = 0
0
0
0
0
0
0
140088
27
-100
F = FPA
103394
92942
10453
0.54
0.48
0.054
74220
-33
97
SSB (2027) =Blim
124324
111241
13083
0.7
0.63
0.074
61563
-44
137
SSB (2027) =BPA = MSYBtrigger
96575
86929
9646
0.49
0.44
0.049
78405
-29
84
SSB (2027) = SSB(2026)
45666
41448
4218
0.197
0.179
0.0182
110427
0
-13
F = F2025
48087
43631
4457
0.21
0.189
0.0193
108876
-1.4
-8.4
Catch (2026) = TAC (2025)
58272
52793
5479
0.26
0.24
0.024
102382
-7.3
11
Symbol
Footnotes
*
SSB 2027 relative to SSB 2026 (110427 tonnes).
**
Total catch in 2026 relative to the catch advice value for 2025 (52466 tonnes).
***
The probability of SSB being below Blim in 2027 is zero for all catch scenarios except SSB(2027)=Blim, which is 50%. This probability relates to the short-term probability of SSB <; Blim and is not comparable to the long-term probability of SSB <; Blim tested in simulations when estimating fishing mortality reference points.
^
The EU multiannual plan (MAP; EU, 2019).