Catch scenarios

Basis	Total catch	Projected landings	Projected discards	Ftotal	Fprojected landings	Fprojected discards	SSB	SSB change*	TAC change^
	2026	2026	2026	2026	2026	2026	2027	2027	2027
	(t)	(t)	(t)	(ratio)	(ratio)	(ratio)	(t)	(%)	(%)
ICES Basis Advice
MSY and precautionary considerations: F = 0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6830	27	-100
Other scenarios
MSY approach: FMSY × SSB (2026)/MSYBtrigger	434	335	98	0.071	0.061	0.0095	6322	17.4	163
F=0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6830	27	-100
EU MAP**: FMSY lower × SSB (2026)/MSYBtrigger	360	278	82	0.058	0.05	0.0079	6408	19	118
EU MAP**:FMSY lower =Feco	833	643	190	0.141	0.122	0.019	5864	8.9	400
F = FMSY	995	767	227	0.171	0.148	0.023	5680	5.5	500
F = Fpa	1299	1001	298	0.23	0.199	0.031	5340	-0.88	690
F = F2025	91	70	20	0.0144	0.0124	0.00193	5340	25	-45
Rollover TAC	165	128	37	0.026	0.023	0.0035	6635	23	0
SSB(2027)=SSB (2026)	1257	968	288	0.22	0.192	0.03	5387	0	660
SSB (2027) = Blim***
SSB(2027)=Bpa=MSYBtrigger***

Symbol	Footnotes
*	SSB 2027 relative to SSB 2026.
**	EU multiannual plan (MAP) for the Western Waters (EU, 2019).
***	The Blim, Bpa, and MSYBtrigger options were left blank because none of them can be achieved in 2027, even with zero catch in 2026.
^	Total advice in 2026 relative to the TAC in 2025 (165tonnes).