Catch scenarios

Basis	Total catch*	Projected landings	Projected discards**	Ftotal*** (ages 2–6)	Fprojected landings (ages 2–6)	Fprojected discards (ages 1–3)	Spawning-stock biomass (SSB)	% SSB change^	% TAC change^^	% advice change^^^
	2026	2026	2026	2026	2026	2026	2027	2027	2026	2026
	(t)	(t)	(t)	(ratio)	(ratio)	(ratio)	(t)	(%)	(%)	(%)
ICES Basis Advice
Maximum sustainable yield (MSY) approach: FMSY	12454	11060	1394	0.186	0.157	0.031	56850	7	25	16.4
Other scenarios
FMSY upper	12454	11060	1394	0.186	0.157	0.031	56850	7	25	16.4
FMSY lower	11340	10074	1266	0.168	0.142	0.028	57774	8.8	13.4	6
F = 0	0	0	0	0	0	0	67241	27	-100	-100
Fpa	12454	11060	1394	0.186	0.157	0.031	56850	7	25	16.4
SSB (2027) = BPA = MSY Btrigger	22792	20185	2607	0.37	0.31	0.061	48340	-9	128	113
SSB (2027) = Blim	39636	34901	4735	0.75	0.63	0.125	34788	-35	296	271
F = F2025	5426	4827	599	0.077	0.065	0.0128	62697	18	-46	-49
Rollover advice	10696	9503	1193	0.158	0.133	0.026	58308	9.8	7	0

Symbol	Footnotes
*	Any difference between the total catch and the sum of projected landings and discards result from rounding.
**	Including below minimum size (BMS) landings. Assuming average estimated discard rate by age 2022–2024.
***	Fprojected landings and Fprojected discards do not add up to Ftotal, as they are calculated using different ages.
^	SSB 2027 relative to SSB 2026.
^^	Total advised catch in 2026 relative to the TAC in 2025 (10000 tonnes).
^^^	Total advised catch in 2026 relative to the advice value 2025 (10696 tonnes).