Advice and Scenarios Database



Sole (Solea solea) in subdivisions 20-24 (Skagerrak and Kattegat, western Baltic Sea)
StockCode (Assessment Component)
sol.27.20-24
Assessment Year
2025
Stock Category
1
Purpose
Advice
Published
Stock Assessment Key
20973
Link to Advice Sheet
https://doi.org/10.17895/ices.advice.27202869






Catch scenarios


Basis
Total catch*
Projected landings
Projected discards
Fages 4–8 projected landings
SSB
% SSB change**
% total allowable catch (TAC) change^
% advice change^^
Probability (SSB (2027) less than Blim)
2026 2026 2026 2026 2027 2027 2026 2026 2027
(t) (t) (t) (t) (t) (%) (%) (%) (%)
ICES Basis Advice
Maximum sustainable yield (MSY) approach, zero catch 0 0 0 0 1517 12.1 -100 -100 97
Other scenarios
EU multiannual plan (MAP)#: FMSY × SSB2026/MSY Btrigger 119 116 3 0.099 1398 3.3 -43 -72 99
^^^EU MAP#: Flower × SSB2026/MSY Btrigger 91 88 3 0.074 1430 5.7 -57 -72 99
^^^EU MAP#: Fupper × SSB2026/MSY Btrigger 136 132 4 0.114 1381 2.1 -35 -68 99
FMSY 210 204 6 0.182 1304 -3.6 0.46 -51 100
FPA 239 232 7 0.21 1275 -5.8 14.2 -44 100
^^^MAP range Fupper 238 231 7 0.21 1276 -5.7 14.2 -45 100
^^^MAP range Flower 161 156 5 0.136 1354 0.07 -23 -50 100
Total allowable catch (TAC) 2025×1.2 251 244 7 0.22 1261 -6.8 20 -42 100
§SSB (2027) = Blim
§ SSB (2027) = BPA
§ SSB (2027) = MSYBtrigger
SSB(2027)=SSB(2026) 169 164 5 0.14 1346 -0.52 -19.2 -61 100
SSB(2027)=SSB(2026)+10% 33 32 1 0.026 1488 10 -84 -92 98
§p(SSB[2027]less thanBlim)less than5%
F = F2025 203 197 6 0.182 1313 -3 -3 -53 100




Symbol Footnotes
§ Options left blank because Blim, BPA, and MSYBtrigger cannot be achieved in 2027, even with zero catch in 2026.
* Total catch is calculated based on projected landings and assuming 2.9% discard ratio (in weight).
** SSB 2027 relative to SSB 2026.
# EU multiannual plan (MAP) for the North Sea (EU, 2018).
^ Total advised catch in 2026 relative to the TAC in 2025 (209tonnes).
^^ Advice value 2026 relative to the advice value 2025 (429tonnes).
^^^ ICES advice change for Flower and Fupper in 2026 relative to ICES advice Flower and Fupper in 2025 (322and 429 tonnes, respectively).