Advice and Scenarios Database



Sole (Solea solea) in divisions 7.f and 7.g (Bristol Channel, Celtic Sea)
StockCode (Assessment Component)
sol.27.7fg
Assessment Year
2025
Stock Category
1
Purpose
Advice
Published
Stock Assessment Key
19868
Link to Advice Sheet
https://doi.org/10.17895/ices.advice.27202884.v1






Catch scenarios


Basis
Total catch
Projected landings
Projected discards
F total
Fprojected landings
Fprojected discards
Spawning-stock biomass (SSB)
% SSB change *
% advice change^
Probability of SSB (2027)<; Blim (%)#
2026 2026 2026 2026 2026 2026 2027 2027 2026 2027
(t) (t) (t) (ratio) (ratio) (ratio) (t) (%) (%) (%)
ICES Basis Advice
Maximum sustainable yield (MSY) approach: F = FMSY 989 931 58 0.251 0.238 0.013 4361 -1.31 -13.9 0
Other scenarios
EU MAP^^: FMSY 989 931 58 0.251 0.238 0.013 4361 -1.31 -13.9 0
EU MAP^^: FMSY lower 565 533 32 0.136 0.129 0.007 4793 8.5 -51 0
EU MAP^^: FMSY upper 1652 1550 102 0.462 0.437 0.025 3692 -16.5 44 0.3
F = 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5367 21 -100 0
F= FPA 1476 1387 89 0.402 0.381 0.021 3871 -12.4 28 0.1
SSB2027 = Blim 3150 2940 210 1.2 1.13 0.063 2184 -51 174 50
SSB2027=Bpa= MSYBtrigger 2279 2138 141 0.71 0.67 0.038 3057 -31 98 5.7
SSB2027= SSB2026 933 878 55 0.24 0.22 0.012 4419 0 -18.8 0
F = F2025 1224 1151 73 0.32 0.3 0.017 4128 -6.6 6.5 0.02




Symbol Footnotes
* SSB 2027 relative to SSB 2026.
# The probability of SSB being below Blim in 2027. This probability relates to the short-term probability of SSB <; Blim and is not comparable to the long-term probability of SSB <; Blim tested in simulations when estimating fishing mortality reference points.
^ Advice value for 2026 relative to the advice value for 2025 (1149 tonnes). The 2025 total allowable catch (TAC) is identical to the advice value.
^^ EU multiannual plan (MAP) for the Western Waters and adjacent waters (EU, 2019).