Advice and Scenarios Database



Sardine (Sardina pilchardus) in divisions 8.c and 9.a (Cantabrian Sea and Atlantic Iberian waters)
StockCode (Assessment Component)
pil.27.8c9a
Assessment Year
2025
Stock Category
1
Purpose
Advice
Published
Stock Assessment Key
21259
Link to Advice Sheet
NA - The advice link for key 21259 was not found!






Catch scenarios


Basis
Catch
F
Biomass 1+
% biomass 1+ change*
% quota change**
% advice change***
Probability of SSB falling below Blim^
2026 2026 2027 2027 2026 2026 2027
(t) (ratio) (t) (%) (%) (%) (ratio)
ICES Basis Advice
Maximum sustainable yield (MSY) approach: FMSY 38978 0.092 450310 -1.06 -25 -2.7 0
Other scenarios
F = FMSY = Fpa 38978 0.092 450310 -1.06 -25 -2.7 0
F2026 = F2025 49935 0.119 442067 -2.8 -3.5 25 0
Harvest control rule (HCR)30^ 30000 0.07 456854 0.38 -42 -25 0
HCR35^ 35000 0.082 453164 -0.44 -32 -12.7 0
HCR40^ 40000 0.095 449499 -1.24 -23 0 0
HCR45^ 45000 0.107 445872 -2 -13 12.3 0
HCR50^ 50000 0.119 442280 -2.8 -3.4 25 0
B1+ (2027)=Blim 403880 1.56 196297 -57 681 908 0.5
B1+ (2027)=Bpa=MSYBtrigger 318985 1.06 252446 -45 517 696 0.076




Symbol Footnotes
* Biomass1+ in 2027 relative to biomass1+ in 2026 (455 144 tonnes).
** Advised catches in 2026 compared to the sum of national quotas for Portugal and Spain for 2025 (51 738 tonnes).
*** Advised catches in 2026 compared to advised catches for 2025 (40 073 tonnes).
^ Precautionary harvest control rule (HCR [ICES, 2021a]). The fishing mortality according to the HCR for the estimated B1+ at the beginning of 2026 would be 0.12 but with the value capped by the maximum allowed catches (e.g. the cap for HCR30 is 30 000 tonnes).
0 Note: 'O' refers to a less than O.OO1 probability