Advice and Scenarios Database



Herring (Clupea harengus) in subdivisions 20-24, spring spawners (Skagerrak, Kattegat, and western Baltic)
StockCode (Assessment Component)
her.27.20-24
Assessment Year
2026
Stock Category
1.2
Purpose
Advice
Published
Stock Assessment Key
21294






Catch scenarios


Basis
Total catch
F2–5
Rage 0 ^^
SSB*
SSB*
% SSB change **
% advice change ***
Probability of SSB below Blim (%)
2027 2027 2027 2027 2028 2028 2027 2028
(t) (ratio) (NE6) (t) (t) (%) (%) (%)
ICES Basis Advice
Maximum sustainable yield (MSY) approach: zero catch 0 0 22233 131500 144486 9.9 95
Other scenarios
EU Baltic Sea multiannual plan (MAP): F=FMSY×SSB2026/MSYBtrigger 4952 0.02 22085 130894 140861 7.6 97
MAP: F=FMSYlower× SSB2026/MSYBtrigger 4952 0.02 22085 130894 140861 7.6 97
F=FMSY =Fpa 11933 0.05 21929 129838 135484 4.3 97
SSB (2028)=Blim ^
SSB (2028)=BPA ^
SSB (2028)=MSYBtrigger^
F=F2026 1970 0.008 22179 131294 142846 8.8 96




Symbol Footnotes
* For spring-spawning stocks, the SSB is calculated at spawning time (April). Thus, it is influenced by fisheries and natural mortality between 01 January and spawning time (April).
** SSB (2028) relative to SSB (2027).
*** The advised catch for 2026 was 0tonnes.
^ Blim, BPA, and MSYBtrigger cannot be achieved in 2028, even with zero catch.
^^ From the stock–recruitment relationship; millions.