Advice and Scenarios Database



Haddock (Melanogrammus aeglefinus) in divisions 7.b-k (southern Celtic Seas and English Channel)
StockCode (Assessment Component)
had.27.7b-k
Assessment Year
2026
Stock Category
1
Purpose
Advice
Published
Stock Assessment Key
22561
Link to Advice Sheet
https://doi.org/10.17895/ices.advice.30932072






Catch scenarios


Basis
Total catch
Projected landings
Projected discards
Ftotal
Fprojected landings
Fprojected discards
Spawning-stock biomass (SSB)
SSB change*
TAC change^
Probability SSB below Blim#
2027 2027 2027 2027 2027 2027 2025 2028 2027 2028
(t) (t) (t) (ratio) (ratio) (ratio) (t) (%) (%) (%)
ICES Basis Advice
Maximum sustainable yield (MSY) approach: F = 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6299 19 -100 92
Other scenarios
FMSY × SSB2027/MSY Btrigger 582 426 156 0.146 0.117 0.029 5712 8 -68 96
FMSY lower × SSB2027/MSY Btrigger 374 275 99 0.091 0.074 0.017 5925 12 -79 95
EU MAP ^^; FMSY 1282 927 355 0.35 0.28 0.069 5032 -5 -30 98
EU MAP^^ FMSY lower 851 620 231 0.22 0.178 0.043 5446 3 -53 97
FPA 2236 1577 659 0.71 0.57 0.139 4118 -22 23 100
SSB2028 = Blim^^^
SSB2028 = BPA= MSY Btrigger^^^
SSB2028 = SSB2027 998 725 273 0.26 0.21 0.052 5306 0 -45 97
F = F2026 2063 1460 603 0.64 0.51 0.124 4279 -19 13 99
TAC2027 – TAC2028 1824 1299 525 0.54 0.44 0.106 4508 -15 0 99




Symbol Footnotes
* SSB 2028 relative to SSB 2027.
# The probability of SSB being below Blim in 2028. This probability relates to the short-term probability of SSB <; Blim and is not comparable to the long-term probability of SSB <; Blim tested in simulations when estimating fishing mortality reference points
^ Advice value for 2027 relative to the 2026 TAC (1824 tonnes).
^^ EU multiannual plan (MAP) for the Western Waters (EU, 2019).
^^^ These options were left blank because they cannot be achieved in 2028, even with zero catch in 2027.