Catch scenarios

Basis	Total catch*	Projected landings	Projected discards**	Ftotal (ages 2-6)***	Fprojected landings (ages 2-6)	Fprojected discards (ages 1-3)	Spawning stock biomass (SSB)	SSB change^	TAC change^^	Advice change^^^
	2027	2027	2027	2027	2027	2027	2028	2028	2027	2027
	(t)	(t)	(t)	(ratio)	(ratio)	(ratio)	(t)	(%)	(%)	(%)
ICES Basis Advice
Maximum sustainable yield (MSY) approach: F = FMSY	24638	21743	2895	0.22	0.184	0.041	92642	8.2	98	98
Other scenarios
F = FMSY upper	24638	21743	2895	0.22	0.184	0.041	92642	8.2	98	98
F = FMSY lower	21730	19182	2549	0.192	0.16	0.036	95123	11.1	74	74
F = 0	0	0	0	0	0	0	113843	33	-100	-100
F = FPA	24638	21743	2895	0.22	0.184	0.041	92642	8.2	98	98
SSB (2028) = BPA = MSY Btrigger	75055	65846	9210	0.87	0.73	0.162	50849	-41	500	500
SSB (2028) = Blim	93308	81597	11711	1.24	1.03	0.23	36593	-57	650	650
F = F2026	6300	5568	732	0.052	0.044	0.0097	108387	27	-49	-49
Rollover advice	12454	11002	1452	0.106	0.089	0.0197	103079	20	0	0

Symbol	Footnotes
*	Any difference between the total catch and the sum of projected landings and discards result from rounding.
**	Including below minimum size (BMS) landings. Assuming average estimated discard rate by age (2023–2025).
***	Fprojected landings and Fprojected discards do not add up to Ftotal, as they are calculated using different ages.
^	SSB 2028 relative to SSB 2027 (85 627 tonnes).
^^	Total advised catch in 2027 relative to the TAC in 2026 (12 454 tonnes).
^^^	Total advised catch in 2027 relative to the advice value 2026 (12 454 tonnes)