Catch scenarios

Basis	Total catch	Projected landings	Projected discards	F total	F projected landings	F projected discards	Spawningstock biomass (SSB)	SSB change	total allowable catch (TAC)^
	2027	2027	2027	2027	2027	2027	2028	2028	2027
	(t)	(t)	(t)	(ratio)	(ratio)	(ratio)	(t)	(%)	(%)
ICES Basis Advice
Maximum sustainable yield (MSY) and precautionary considerations: F=0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3277	-4.1	-100
Other scenarios
MSY approach: FMSY × SSB2027/MSY Btrigger	112	98	14	0.045	0.039	0.0056	3145	-7.9	-32
EU MAP**: FMSY lower × SSB2027/MSY Btrigger	93	81	12	0.037	0.032	0.0047	3168	-7.3	-44
EU MAP**: FMSY lower	338	295	43	0.151	0.123	0.00177	2884	-15.6	105
F= FECO	356	310	45	0.149	0.13	0.0187	2864	-16.5	116
FECO × SSB2027/MSY Btrigger	98	86	12	0.039	0.034	0.0049	3162	-7.4	-41
F = FMSY	404	353	1	0.171	0.15	0.021	2809	-17.8	145
F = Fpa	530	462	68	0.23	0.2	0.029	2667	-22	220
F = F2026	25	22	3	0.0097	0.0085	0.00122	3248	-4.9	-85
Rollover TAC	165	144	21	0.067	0.058	0.0084	3084	-9.7	0
SSB2028 = SSB2027***
SSB2028 = Blim***
SSB2028 =BPA = MSY Btrigger***

Symbol	Footnotes
*	SSB 2028 relative to SSB 2027
**	EU multiannual plan (MAP) for the Western Waters (EU, 2019).
***	The SSB2027, Blim, BPA, and MSY Btrigger options were left blank because none of them can be achieved in 2028, even with zero catch in 2027.
^	Total advice in 2027 relative to the TAC in 2026 (165 tonnes).