Advice and Scenarios Database



Sole (Solea solea) in subdivisions 20-24 (Skagerrak and Kattegat, western Baltic Sea)
StockCode (Assessment Component)
sol.27.20-24
Assessment Year
2026
Stock Category
1
Purpose
Advice
Published
Stock Assessment Key
21317
Link to Advice Sheet
https://doi.org/10.17895/ices.advice.30932399






Catch scenarios


Basis
Total catch* (2027)
Projected landings (2027)
Projected discards (2027)#
Fages 4–8 projected landings
SSB (2028)
% SSB change **
% total allowable catch (TAC) change^
% advice change ^^
% probability (SSB (2028) < Blim)
2027 2027 2027 2027 2028 2028 2027 2027 2028
(t) (t) (t) (ratio) (t) (%) (%) (%) (%)
ICES Basis Advice
Maximum sustainable yield (MSY) approach, zero catch 0 0 0 0 1926 14.1 -100 0 75
Other scenarios
EU multiannual plan (MAP)##: FMSY × SSB2027/MSY Btrigger 180 174 6 0.12 1744 3.3 57 86
EU MAP##: Fupper × SSB2027/MSY Btrigger 205 198 7 0.138 1718 1.8 78 51 88
EU MAP##: Flower × SSB2027/MSY Btrigger 137 132 5 0.09 1789 6 19 51 83
FMSY 265 256 9 0.182 1662 -1.5 130 91
FPA 303 292 11 0.21 1624 -3.8 163 94
MAP range Fupper 302 291 11 0.21 1625 -3.7 163 122 94
MAP range Flower 202 195 7 0.136 1721 1.95 76 122 88
Total allowable catch (TAC) 2026×1.2 143 138 5 0.094 1783 5.6 24 83
§ SSB (2028) = Blim
§ SSB (2028) = BPA
§ SSB (2028) = MSYBtrigger
SSB(2028)=SSB(2027) 290 280 10 0.201 1636 -3.1 152 93
SSB(2028)=SSB(2027)+10% 123 119 4 0.081 1800 6.6 7 82
§ p(SSB[2028]<;Blim)<;5%
F = F2026 128 123 5 0.084 1796 6.4 11.3 82




Symbol Footnotes
§ Blim, BPA, or MSYBtrigger will likely not be achieved in 2028, even with zero catch in 2027.
* Total catch is calculated based on projected landings and assuming 3.7% discard rate (in weight).
** SSB 2028 relative to SSB 2027.
# Including below minimum size (BMS) landings, assuming recent discard rates (2021–2025).
## EU multiannual plan (MAP) for the North Sea (EU, 2018, 2019).
^ Total advised catch in 2027 relative to the TAC in 2026 (115tonnes).
^^ Advice value 2027 relative to the advice value 2026 (0tonnes) and advice change for Flower and Fupper in 2027 relative to ICES advice Flower and Fupper in 2026 (91and 136 tonnes, respectively).