Advice and Scenarios Database



Sole (Solea solea) in divisions 7.f and 7.g (Bristol Channel, Celtic Sea)
StockCode (Assessment Component)
sol.27.7fg
Assessment Year
2026
Stock Category
1
Purpose
Advice
Published
Stock Assessment Key
22663
Link to Advice Sheet
https://doi.org/10.17895/ices.advice.30932417.v1






Catch scenarios


Basis
Total catch
Projected landings
Projected discards
Ftotal
Fprojected landings
Fprojected discards
Spawing-stock biomass (SSB)
% SSB change*
% advice change^
Probability of SSB lt Blim (%)#
2027 2027 2027 2027 2027 2027 2028 2028 2028 2028
(t) (t) (t) (ratio) (ratio) (ratio) (t) (%) (%) (%)
ICES Basis Advice
Maximum sustainable yield (MSY) approach: F = FMSY 972 925 47 0.251 0.238 0.013 4280 -2.9 -1.72 0
Other scenarios
EU MAP^^: FMSY 972 925 47 0.251 0.24 0.013 4280 -2.9 -1.72 0
EU MAP^^: FMSY lower 555 529 26 0.136 0.129 0.007 4704 6.8 -44 0
EU MAP^^: FMSY upper 1625 1544 81 0.462 0.44 0.024 3630 -17.6 64 0.28
F = 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5273 19.7 -100 0
F = FPA 1452 1381 71 0.402 0.38 0.021 3800 -13.8 47 0.09
SSB2028 = Blim 3059 2887 172 1.17 1.11 0.061 2184 -50 210 50
SSB2028 = Bpa = MSY Btrigger 2191 2077 114 0.69 0.65 0.035 3057 -31 122 4.8
SSB2028 = SSB2027 848 808 40 0.22 0.21 0.011 4406 0 -14.3 0
F = F2026 978 931 47 0.25 0.24 0.013 4275 -3 -1.11 0




Symbol Footnotes
* SSB 2028 relative to SSB 2027.
# The probability of SSB being below Blim in 2028. This probability relates to the short-term probability of SSB lt Blim and is not comparable to the long-term probability of SSB lt Blim tested in simulations when estimating fishing mortality reference points.
^ Advice value for 2027 relative to the advice value for 2026 (989 tonnes). TAC 2026 was equal to the advice value.
^^ EU multiannual plan (MAP) for the Western Watersand adjacent waters(EU, 2019).