Advice and Scenarios Database



Black-bellied anglerfish (Lophius budegassa) in divisions 8.c and 9.a (Cantabrian Sea, Atlantic Iberian waters)
StockCode (Assessment Component)
ank.27.8c9a
Assessment Year
2026
Stock Category
1
Purpose
Advice
Published
Stock Assessment Key
23769
Link to Advice Sheet
https://doi.org/10.17895/ices.advice.30931949






Catch scenarios


Basis
Total catch
Fages 3-15 total
Spawning-stock biomass (SSB)
% SSB change **
% advice change ***
% Probability SSB less than Blim ^, ^^^
2027 2027 2028 2028 2027 2028
(t) (ratio) (t) (%) (%) (%)
ICES Basis Advice
EU MAP*: FMSY 2786 0.504 2753 7.7 58 0
F = MAP* FMSY lower 1905 0.324 3174 24 60 0
F = MAP* FMSY upper 3377 0.639 2478 -3.1 88 0
Other scenarios
F = 0 0 0 4117 61 -100 0
F=FPA 3377 0.639 2478 -3.1 92 0
SSB (2028) = Blim^^ 7651 2.34 715 -72 334 55
SSB (2028) = BPA = MSYBtrigger 6880 1.87 994 -61 290 12
SSB2028 = SSB2027 3208 0.6 2556 0 82 0
F = F2026 2208 0.38 3028 18.5 25 0
Catch advice 2027 = catch advice 2026 1762 0.3 3243 27 0 0




Symbol Footnotes
* The EU multiannual plan (MAP; EU, 2019).
** SSB 2028 relative to SSB 2027 (2 556 tonnes).
*** Advice value for 2027 relative to the advice for 2026 values (FMSY 1 762 tonnes, FMSY lower 1 192 tonnes, FMSY upper 1 792 tonnes). All other scenarios are relative to the 2026 value for the FMSY scenario (1762 tonnes).
^ The probability of SSB being below Blim in 2028. This probability relates to the short-term probability of SSB <; Blim and is not comparable to the long-term probability of SSB <; Blim. Fishing mortalities less than FPA have been shown to have less than 5% probability of the stock being below Blim in the long term when tested through simulations when estimating fishing mortality reference point.
^^ The probability is not exactly 0.50 because of the asymmetric error distribution.
^^^ 0 indicates "less than 1%"