Catch scenarios

Basis	Total landings	Fishing mortality F/FMSY	Stock size B/BMSY	% Biomass change **	% Advice change ***	Probability of B below Blim
	2027	2027	2028	2028	2027	2028
	(t)	(ratio)	(ratio)	(%)	(%)	(%)
ICES Basis Advice
Maximum sustainable yield (MSY) approach (15th percentile of predicted catch distribution under F = FMSY)	444	0.62	1.75	-3.6	25	0.031
Other scenarios
F = FMSY	704	1	1.67	-7.8	99	0.065
F = F2026	573	0.81	1.71	-5.7	62	0.045
F = 0	0	0	1.88	3.7	-100	0.008
Landings = 35th percentile of predicted landings distribution under F=FMSY	592	0.83	1.7	-6	67	0.048

Symbol	Footnotes
*	The figures in the table are rounded. Calculations were done with unrounded inputs, and computed values may not match exactly when calculated using the rounded figures in the table.
**	Biomass 2028 relative to biomass 2027 at the beginning of the year (1.81).
***	Advice value for 2027 relative to landings advice value for 2026 (354 tonnes).