Catch scenarios

Basis	Total catch	Projected landings	Projected discards	Ftotal	Spawning stock biomass	% SSB change*	% total allowable catch (TAC) change**	% advice change***	Probability SSB 2028 below Blim^
	2027	2027	2027	2027	2028	2028	2027	2027	2028
	(t)	(t)	(t)	(ratio)	(t)	(%)	(%)	(%)	(ratio)
ICES Basis Advice
F = 0	0			0	10815	52			30
Other scenarios
ICES maximum sustainable yield (MSY) approach (FMSY × SSB2027/MSY Btrigger)	1006			0.14	9715	36			47
FMSY	1558			0.23	9098	28			54
FPA = Fp05	3359			0.6	6908	-3.1			81
F = F2025	4086			0.8	6086	-14.7			90
FMSY Upper^^
FMSY Lower^^
SSB(2028) = Blim	1341			0.19	9340	31			50
SSB(2028) = BPA^^^
SSB(2028) = MSY Btrigger^^^
SSB(2028) = SSB(2027)#

Symbol	Footnotes
*	SSB2028 relative to SSB2027.
**	Total catch in 2027 relative to 2026 TAC (2 180 tonnes). ICES does not calculate the percentage change in TAC because Faroe Islands manages fishing effort (i.e. days of fishing), instead of TAC. Other countries (EU, UK, and Norway) have TACs for the stock in this area.
***	The advice value for 2027 relative to advice value for 2026 (0 tonnes)
#	SSB in 2027 is below Blim therefore this catch option is not provided.
^	The probability of SSB being below Blim in 2028 presented as a percentage. This probability relates to the short-term probability of SSB <; Blim and is not comparable to the long-term probability of SSB <; Blim tested in simulations when estimating fishing mortality reference points
^^	These reference points have not been estimated for this stock.
^^^	There are no catch options able to reach BPA and MSY Btrigger in 2028.