Advice and Scenarios Database



Horse mackerel (Trachurus trachurus) in Subarea 8 and divisions 2.a, 3.a, 4.a, 5.b, 6.a, 7.a–c, and 7.e–k (Northeast Atlantic and adjacent waters)
StockCode (Assessment Component)
hom.27.2a3a4a5b6a7a-ce-k8
Assessment Year
2026
Stock Category
1
Purpose
Advice
Published
Stock Assessment Key
25892






Catch scenarios


Basis
Total catch
F
Spawning-stock biomass (SSB)
% SSB change*
% advice change**
% probability SSB less than Blim***
2027 2027 2028 2028 2027 2028
(t) (ratio) (t) (%) (%) (%)
ICES Basis Advice
Maximum sustainable yield (MSY) approach: F = FMSY 79223 0.08 916980 2.9 6.7 0.45
Other scenarios
F=FPA 79223 0.08 916980 2.9 6.7 0.45
F=0 0 0 990232 11.1 -100 0.166
F=F2026 64696 0.065 930373 4.4 -12.8 0.37
SSB2028=MSYBtrigger=BPA 220876 0.248 787443 -11.6 198 3.1
SSB2028=Blim 468984 0.665 566678 -36 532 50




Symbol Footnotes
* SSB2028 relative to SSB2027 (891 110 tonnes).
** Advice value for 2027 relative to advice value for 2026 (74 214 tonnes).
*** The percentage probability of SSB being below Blim in 2028. This probability relates to the short-term probability of SSB <; Blim and is not comparable to the long-term probability of SSB <; Blim tested in simulations when estimating fishing mortality reference points.