Advice and Scenarios Database



Norway pout (Trisopterus esmarkii) in Subarea 4 and Division 3.a (North Sea, Skagerrak and Kattegat)
StockCode (Assessment Component)
nop.27.3a4
Assessment Year
2026
Stock Category
1
Purpose
Advice
Published
Stock Assessment Key
26011
Link to Advice Sheet
https://doi.org/10.17895/ices.advice.30932249






Catch scenarios


Basis
Catch (01 November 2026-31 October 2027) *
F (01 November 2026-31 October 2027) **
5th percentile SSB (quarter 4 2027)
Median SSB (quarter 4 2027)
SSB change ***
Catch change^
Advice change ^^
2027 2027 2027 2027 2027 2027 2027
(t) (ratio) (t) (t) (%) (%) (%)
ICES Basis Advice
Maximum sustainable yield (MSY) approach: F = 0 0 0 10480 24185 91 -100
Other scenarios
F=Fstatus quo^^^ 713 0.0168 10348 23924 88 121
Catch ˜ Total allowable catch (TAC) 2026 2908 0.07 9785 23078 82 803
F = 0.2 8017 0.2 8699 21111 66 2390
F = 0.3 11614 0.3 7949 19706 55 3507
F = 0.4 14995 0.4 7193 18522 46 4557
Median SSB quarter 4 2027 = Blim$
Median SSB quarter 4 2027 = BPA$




Symbol Footnotes
* The catch forecast is for the period 01 October to 30 September and approximates the total allowable catch (TAC) period 01 November 2026 to 31 October 2027.
** Any differences between values in this table and other values in Table 1 are due to stochasticity in the projections.
*** SSB at the beginning of the 4th quarter of 2027 relative to SSB at the beginning of the 4th quarter of 2026 (12 692 tonnes).
^ Catches from 01 October 2026 to 30 September 2027 relative to catches from 01 October 2025 to 15 September 2026 (322 tonnes).
^^ Advice value 2027 relative to the advice value 2026 (0 tonnes). No values are provided because the previous advice was zero.
^^^ Fishing mortality from the 4th quarter of 2025 to the 3rd quarter of 2026 (0.0168); from the assessment model.
$ Blim and BPA cannot be achieved in quarter 4 of 2027 even with zero catch.